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Caelum

2yo Colt · 9-7

Nottingham · EBF Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 8y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

105,000 gns Minzaal half-brother to very smart 6f winner Powerful Glory. Showed speed when 4 lengths second on 5f Newcastle debut 4 weeks ago. Leading claims with improvement likely.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f Std 1333/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Newcastle42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07