2
Crimson Blaze
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 64
Nottingham · EBF Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 8y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Bath | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Bath | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +18.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |