4

Runaway Lucy

2yo Filly · 9-2

Nottingham · EBF Slip Anchor Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 8y

#5

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, eighth of 9 in novice at Beverley (5f, good) on debut 15 days ago. Needs to have come on a lot in a short time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 16/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f Goo 12816/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Beverley48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength6%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/20268th66/10%13%+0.13