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7

Donna Beauty

2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 76

Nottingham · Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery · 6f 18y

#8

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has looked an awkward ride but more straightforward when making all in 6f Chester novice (soft) 3 weeks ago. An opening mark in the mid-70s demands more of her, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/0522 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0725 @ Chester 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 12811/095projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chester51st2nd−1
2026-07-30Goodwood27th5th+2
2026-05-03Newmarket26th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0530/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
30/07/20267th28/10%50%+0.50
11/09/20261st7/491%100%+0.09