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9

Musical Force

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 73

Nottingham · Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery · 6f 18y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left her first 2 efforts well behind when making it third time lucky in 6f Lingfield maiden (all-weather). May do better again but it'll be needed to defy this opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f3y GF 12818/0644 @ Wolverhampton 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 12521/0744 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f1y Std 12818/084projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield41st1st0
2026-07-21Wolverhampton43rd3rd0
2026-06-18Yarmouth49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0621/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20269th22/10%11%+0.11
21/07/20263rd11/142%75%+0.33
18/08/20261st13/266%100%+0.34