2

Pure Mint

2yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 84

Nottingham · Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery · 6f 18y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off at 11/10 and looked potentially useful when a ready winner on his 6f Ripon debut (good to firm) in July. Disappointing when at 8/15 at Ascot since but getting upset in stalls may have impacted his performance. Evidently well regarded but his good stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ripon 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 13027/0742 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS4/092projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Ascot26th4th+2
2026-07-27Ripon41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -86.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
04/09/20266th8/1597%17%-0.81