Washington Royale
2yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 79
Nottingham · Racedays For 9 Pound At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery · 6f 18y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |