11
Lady Lauren
3yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 45
Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Handicap · 2m 1f 208y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Chepstow | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |