5

Pacific Storm

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 59

Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Handicap · 2m 1f 208y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to show much in 3 starts but now makes handicap debut with a significant step up in trip likely to suit given his stamina-rich pedigree. Also wears first-time visor for stable now in much better form than when he was last seen so could be worth a play.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f201y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS14/0533 @ Goodwood 19/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS19/0633 @ Ffos Las 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m3f209y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS27/083projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Ffos Las35th1st+3
2026-06-19Goodwood37th3rd+3
2026-05-14Salisbury35th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0519/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +18.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20265th8/158%20%-0.38
19/06/20267th16/116%33%+0.18
27/08/20265th40/10%0%0.00