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4

Regally Blonde

7yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 51

Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Handicap · 2m 1f 208y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at 33/1 over 2m on all-weather at Lingfield in August but ran badly when fourth of 6 at Ripon 30 days ago. Now back at Nottingham where she has won before but her form is inconsistent.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Nottingham 02/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m6f Goo 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 59 par2/102OR 596 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 58 · 1m7f169y Std 136 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 57 · 2m68y Goo 132 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 57 par18/056OR 576 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 55 · 1m3f99y GF 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Nottingham 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 53 · 1m6f Goo 123 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 53 par4/076OR 535 @ Nottingham 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 51 · 2m1f208y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 49 · 1m6f17y GF 129 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 49 par5/086OR 496 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 48 · 1m7f169y Std 128 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 51 · 2m Sft 130 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 51 par1/096OR 51projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Ripon64th4th0
2026-08-17Lingfield61st1st0
2026-08-05Yarmouth65th5th0
2026-07-17Nottingham54th3rd+1
2026-07-04Nottingham63rd3rd0
2026-06-01Windsor66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/101/065/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength67%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20257th25/10%0%0.00
27/04/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
18/05/20265th10/147%56%+0.08
01/06/20266th14/126%44%+0.18
04/07/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02
17/07/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
05/08/20265th17/255%33%-0.22
17/08/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
01/09/20264th4/179%40%-0.39