Stopherandgo
9yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 45
Nottingham · Watch Racing TV Handicap · 2m 1f 208y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Southwell | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Windsor | 3 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 3 | 4th | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 3 | 12th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-03-09 | Taunton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2024 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 25/07/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 25/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 08/07/2026 | 12th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/09/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |