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5

Princess Lottie

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 75

Nottingham · EBF Oh So Sharp Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 75y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Camelot filly who has taken a good step forward with each start, going down by only a short head to Girl Scout (won again since) in 1m Haydock nursery (heavy) 4 weeks ago. Likely more to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 12819/0633 @ Newmarket 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f GF 12817/0733 @ Haydock 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 7f212y Hvy 1284/093projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Haydock32nd2nd0
2026-07-17Newmarket34th4th0
2026-06-19Newmarket35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0617/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength33%

Delivery trend -34.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20265th100/10%50%+0.50
17/07/20264th18/15%50%+0.45
04/09/20262nd11/486%67%-0.19