3
Itsatenfromlen
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 83
Nottingham · 9 Pound Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap · 1m 75y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength31%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | Meydan | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-12-05 | Meydan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-02-14 | Meydan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-01-31 | Meydan | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-01-10 | Meydan | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2024-10-21 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 8th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2024 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/06/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/09/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/10/2024 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/01/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 31/01/2025 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/02/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 05/12/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 09/01/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |