5

Kaindy

3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 85

Nottingham · 9 Pound Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap · 1m 75y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful sort who got off the mark with something to spare in novice at Kempton (7f) in August and went like the best horse at the weights (conceded first run) when second on 1m Lingfield handicap debut 3 weeks ago. Open to further progress and leading claims tackling turf for first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 13/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 13013/1055 @ Newcastle 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 1337/1154 @ Kempton 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m Sta 1305/0844 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 84 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 84 par26/084OR 844 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m1y Std 134 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 84 par10/094OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Lingfield42nd2nd0
2026-08-26Kempton41st1st0
2026-08-05Kempton43rd3rd0
2025-11-07Newcastle52nd3rd−1
2025-10-13Kempton57th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/107/115/0826/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20257th13/266%45%-0.20
07/11/20252nd2/189%88%-0.02
05/08/20263rd4/179%83%+0.04
26/08/20261st2/999%100%+0.01
10/09/20262nd8/1196%80%-0.16