Revelance
4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 85
Nottingham · 9 Pound Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap · 1m 75y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chepstow | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Newmarket | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 01/11/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 54% | -0.36 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |