6
Didaar
5yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 67
Nottingham · Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap · 1m 2f 50y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Nottingham | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 11/09/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 14/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 01/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |