Renesmee
6yo Mare · 9-13 · OR 69
Nottingham · Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap · 1m 2f 50y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lingfield | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Newmarket | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 24th | 20th | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 24th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |