Bright
6yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 70
Nottingham · Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap · 6f 18y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | York | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Chester | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Newcastle | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/02/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |
| 08/05/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 15/08/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |