3

Spirit Of Applause

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 68

Nottingham · Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap · 6f 18y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back-to-back seconds in August at Redcar and Pontefract confirmed his return to form and he was far from disgraced in better company than this last 2 starts. Stable amongst the winners this week and he looks a big player down in 0-70 company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 17/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 69 · 5f Std 134 · beat its mark17/11/2025 · OR 69 par17/115OR 695 @ Beverley 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 134 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Nottingham 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 68 · 5f8y Goo 131 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 68 par2/075OR 685 @ Doncaster 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 68 · 5f143y GF 155 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR 68 · 6f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 68 par24/074OR 685 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 67 · 5f3y Goo 137 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 67 · 5f217y Goo 132 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 67 par22/085OR 674 @ Ripon 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 69 par4 @ Redcar 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 69 · 5f217y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 69 par15/094OR 69projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Redcar45th4th+1
2026-09-01Ripon44th3rd+1
2026-08-22Redcar52nd2nd0
2026-08-05Pontefract52nd2nd0
2026-07-24York410th9th+1
2026-07-09Doncaster53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/119/0722/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength86%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/11/20253rd10/382%75%-0.07
16/06/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
02/07/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
09/07/20263rd9/276%78%+0.01
24/07/202610th25/10%55%+0.55
05/08/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02
22/08/20262nd12/137%90%+0.53
01/09/20264th12/137%67%+0.30
15/09/20265th13/266%69%+0.03