6

Taaklam

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 67

Nottingham · Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap · 6f 18y

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won emphatically over this trip at Southwell on all-weather 31 days ago in first-time cheekpieces, finding a chunk of improvement to beat a subsequent winner. Missed break and disappointed over 7f back on turf at Catterick last time, though, and needs to prove himself on the surface.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength19%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 21/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Sta 13321/0956 @ Newcastle 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 63 · 6f Std 133 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 63 par6 @ Newcastle 13/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 63 · 6f Std 133 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 63 par13/046OR 636 @ Southwell 30/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 63 · 6f16y Std 133 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Catterick 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 65 · 5f212y Goo 140 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 65 par21/056OR 655 @ Newcastle 31/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 64 · 5f Sta 130 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 64 par6 @ Ayr 08/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 63 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 63 par8/086OR 636 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 60 · 6f16y Std 135 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Catterick 08/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 60 · 7f6y Goo 141 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 60 par8/096OR 60projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Catterick69th10th−1
2026-08-31Southwell61st2nd−1
2026-08-08Ayr66th7th−1
2026-07-31Newcastle57th7th0
2026-05-21Catterick65th6th−1
2026-04-30Southwell62nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0930/048/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20255th15/261%43%-0.18
14/10/20253rd11/486%71%-0.14
13/04/20263rd4/179%83%+0.04
30/04/20262nd10/382%90%+0.08
21/05/20265th7/491%0%-0.91
31/07/20267th4/179%45%-0.33
08/08/20266th12/137%58%+0.21
31/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
08/09/20269th7/282%27%-0.54