6

Taaklam
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 67
Nottingham · Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap · 6f 18y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Southwell | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |