1
Botita
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 66
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-07-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2023 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 12/06/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 26/06/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 10/07/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |