4
Pedital
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |