2
Spoken Vow
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 72
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 06/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |