4

Come Out Tonight

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 85

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS8/10C6C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 60 · 1m 120 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 60 par20/10C9OR 60C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m70y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 67 par27/05C5OR 67C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 118 · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 79 par11/06C8OR 79C7 @ Ellis Park 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 88 par9/07C7OR 88C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 1m 118 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 88 par24/08C8OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-07-09Ellis Park?7th6th+1
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-27Presque Isle Downs?5th2nd+3
2025-10-20Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2025-10-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1020/1027/0511/069/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20257th20/10%25%+0.25
20/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
27/05/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
11/06/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
09/07/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
24/08/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29