Good Directions
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-30 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-06-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-05-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2024-08-10 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | -1th | +7 |
| 2024-07-22 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/07/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 10/08/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/06/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 30/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |