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2

Maximum Faith

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 20/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 89 · 1m 118 · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 89 par20/08C8OR 89C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 89 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 89 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 91 · 1m70y Fas 121 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 91 par17/09C8OR 91C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 15/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 89 par15/07C8OR 89C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 85 · 1m 123 · below its mark17/08/2026 · OR 85 par17/08C8OR 85C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 14/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 86 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 86 par14/09C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-09-07Presque Isle Downs?7th4th+3
2026-08-17Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-07-27Presque Isle Downs?2nd-1th+3
2026-07-15Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-06-09Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/089/0617/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
02/09/20252nd8/158%75%+0.17
17/09/20253rd9/488%50%-0.38
09/06/20263rd6/492%71%-0.21
15/07/20265th11/486%20%-0.66
27/07/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
17/08/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
07/09/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
14/09/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23