IvyArcIvyArc
4

Eternal City

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 73

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 4f110y 12017/06C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 74 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 74 par6/07C6OR 74C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 74 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 74 par18/09C5OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Presque Isle Downs?6th5th+1
2026-07-06Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-06-17Presque Isle Downs?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/066/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +42.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/06/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
06/07/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
18/09/20266th33/10%38%+0.38