6

Full Tank

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 63

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 1192/07C6C9 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 58 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 58 par14/08C9OR 58projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Colonial Downs?1st5th−3
2026-07-02Colonial Downs?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0714/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +40.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20263rd15/890%60%-0.30
14/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11