1

Trashy Mission
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 67
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |