5

Uncle Kef

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 74

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 4f110y 1208/06C6C5 @ Woodbine 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 84 par12/07C5OR 84C0 @ Saratoga 01/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 81 par1/08C?OR 81C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 70 par19/08C6OR 70C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 73 par18/09C5OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Presque Isle Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-08-19Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-08-01Saratoga?5th-1th+5
2026-07-12Woodbine?5th4th+1
2026-06-08Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0612/071/0819/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.7% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
12/07/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
01/08/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
19/08/20262nd13/266%80%+0.14
18/09/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72