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2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 83

Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Presque Isle Downs 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f 12027/07C6C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 79 par19/08C6OR 79C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 82 par18/09C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-08-19Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-07-27Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0719/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
19/08/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
18/09/20264th14/126%63%+0.36