2
Joys Of Summer
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/11/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |