1
La Artista
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 83
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength98%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-10-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength81%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 19/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |