5

Spun Up

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 86

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m70y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 83 par8/09C5OR 83C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 90 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 90 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 82 par3/11C5OR 82C5 @ Turfway Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 86 parC8 @ Turfway Park 18/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 87 · 1m 120 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 87 par18/01C8OR 87C8 @ Turfway Park 05/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m 125 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 1m 122 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 83 par21/05C8OR 83C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m110y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 87 par14/09C5OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-08-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th3rd+3
2026-05-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-02-05Turfway Park?5th5th0
2026-01-18Turfway Park?9th9th0
2025-12-27Turfway Park?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0927/1221/0514/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20254th8/158%40%-0.18
08/10/20255th13/266%33%-0.32
03/11/20252nd14/126%89%+0.63
27/12/20258th33/10%36%+0.36
18/01/20269th15/261%20%-0.41
05/02/20265th4/179%56%-0.23
21/05/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
24/08/20266th11/271%38%-0.34
14/09/20265th16/116%33%+0.18