1
Ain't No Lady
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 68
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
Delivery trend -9.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2024 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/08/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 23/10/2024 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 15/11/2024 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 04/05/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 17/05/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 10/06/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 24/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |