Mima Princess

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 61

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.7

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-31	Mountaineer	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-08-17	Mountaineer	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-03	Presque Isle Downs	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-07-03	Presque Isle Downs	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-06-17	Presque Isle Downs	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-05-26	Mountaineer	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▼

Strength9%

Delivery trend -12.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
15/04/2026	3rd	33/1	0%	67%	+0.67
02/05/2026	4th	50/1	0%	40%	+0.40
11/05/2026	7th	33/1	0%	14%	+0.14
26/05/2026	6th	40/1	0%	17%	+0.17
17/06/2026	4th	9/1	53%	40%	-0.13
03/07/2026	2nd	20/1	0%	86%	+0.86
03/08/2026	6th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
17/08/2026	3rd	9/2	76%	60%	-0.16
31/08/2026	6th	11/4	86%	0%	-0.86