3

Starship Discovery

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 84

Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 28/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m Fm 12128/11C9C9 @ Gulfstream 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m 124 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 78 parC9 @ Gulfstream 12/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 82 · 7f110y 124 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 82 par12/10C9OR 82C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 78 · 5f110y 125 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 78 parC9 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f 125 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 74 par9/06C9OR 74C9 @ Presque Isle Downs 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 125 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 81 par3/08C5OR 81C6 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 81 · 6f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 81 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 84 par18/09C5OR 84projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Presque Isle Downs?4th1st+3
2026-09-01Presque Isle Downs?3rd1st+2
2026-08-03Presque Isle Downs?4th1st+3
2026-06-29Presque Isle Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-06-09Presque Isle Downs?6th7th−1
2026-05-25Presque Isle Downs?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1125/053/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20242nd16/116%86%+0.70
13/09/20254th9/488%57%-0.31
12/10/20253rd7/491%67%-0.24
25/05/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
09/06/20266th11/893%0%-0.93
29/06/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
03/08/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
01/09/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
18/09/20264th14/126%40%+0.14