5
Chubs Rocket
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |