6
Iceberg Slim
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength62%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-04-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 19/08/2026 | 8th | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |