7

Inchon
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 81
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
67%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |