1
This Laughs On You
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |