2
Thunder Cane
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 69
Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |