6
Drunk On Sake
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |