1

Neoking

6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85

Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

72%

Place Prob

54%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turfway Park 27/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 89 par27/02C7OR 89C8 @ Turfway Park 11/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 6f110y 121 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 88 parC8 @ Penn National 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 85 · 6f 122 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 85 par9/05C8OR 85C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 85 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 85 par10/06C8OR 85C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 84 · 1m110y 123 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 87 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 87 par27/07C5OR 87C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m70y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 86 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 86 par26/08C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-08-18Presque Isle Downs?8th5th+3
2026-07-27Presque Isle Downs?3rd0th+3
2026-07-02Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-06-10Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0218/0527/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
11/03/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
09/05/20263rd15/890%33%-0.57
18/05/20265th5/174%33%-0.40
10/06/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35
02/07/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
27/07/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19
18/08/20268th11/486%13%-0.73
26/08/20262nd5/287%83%-0.04