5
Tigre
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 55% | -0.35 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |