1
Duel Fuel
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |