5
R Admiral
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 05/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |