6
Tommy Bee
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 75
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 21/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |