7

Sawasdee

8yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 99

Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Assiniboia Downs 25/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 103 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2025 · OR 103 par25/06C5OR 103C0 @ Sunland Park 04/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 124C6 @ Turf Paradise 21/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 104 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 104 par21/01C6OR 104C6 @ Turf Paradise 28/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 108 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 108 parC0 @ Turf Paradise 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 11922/03C?C5 @ Turf Paradise 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 104 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 104 parC5 @ Lone Star 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 107 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 107 par27/06C5OR 107C6 @ Remington Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 101 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 101 parC8 @ Remington Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 92 · 5f Fas 120 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 92 par18/09C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Remington Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-28Remington Park?6th4th+2
2026-06-27Lone Star?8th4th+3
2026-04-15Turf Paradise?1st-2th+3
2026-03-22Turf Paradise?4th4th0
2026-02-28Turf Paradise?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0628/0227/0618/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength56%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20255th2/189%56%-0.34
04/01/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
21/01/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
28/02/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
22/03/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
15/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
27/06/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
28/08/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
18/09/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20