Stayed In For Half
7yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 104
Remington Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
88%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Lone Star | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Remington Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 16/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |